KKR: Fundraising Supercycle Gains Traction – 5 Key Catalysts Fueling Deployment and Monetization Momentum into 2025 & Beyond !

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KKR’s Q3 2024 results reaffirm its leadership in alternative asset management, underpinned by record fee-related earnings (FRE) of $1.12 per share (up 78% YoY) and a robust 71% FRE margin, demonstrating superior operating leverage. Adjusted net income per share surged 57% YoY to $1.38, exceeding expectations by $0.18, while revenue of $1.96B beat estimates by $214.7M, driven by diversified growth across infrastructure, private equity, and credit. Key catalysts include a remarkable 42% YoY AUM increase in infrastructure, record $424M in Capital Markets revenues, and strategic initiatives in renewable energy, hybrid public-private fund launches, and targeted acquisitions in technology and entertainment. Fundraising momentum, with $87B year-to-date inflows and surging wealth management AUM (+180% YoY), positions KKR for a sustained “fundraising supercycle” into 2025, bolstered by flagship fundraises and operational scaling of its K-Series platform. While manageable headwinds include slight fee rate compression and monetization timing risks, management’s commentary on accelerating exits, IPO pipelines, and M&A activity provides visibility into near-term execution. With accrued carried interest up 40% YoY and guidance projecting $600M dividends by 2028, KKR remains well-poised for durable growth and shareholder returns. Can KKR sustain its growth trajectory while navigating evolving market dynamics and capitalizing on a recovering macroenvironment?

Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures

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  • Alphabet Inc: Can AI Frontier Advances Maintain Search Dominance as Cloud Growth already Hits 18-Month High?

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    Alphabet’s second-quarter results highlight the company’s continued strength in search and cloud services, reflecting solid ad revenue growth and accelerated growth in Google Cloud, driven by AI tools enhancing broader cloud adoption. Despite some challenges, the company’s total revenue increased 14% year over year, with Google search revenue growing 14% to $48.5 billion, led by robust retail demand, particularly in Asia. Alphabet has also seen early success with AI overviews within search results, improving user satisfaction and ad performance. While YouTube advertising growth slowed to 13%, this was partly due to tough comparisons from the previous year. Operating margins improved to 32% from 29% last year, thanks to cost controls and reduced SG&A expenses, despite increased capital spending on compute infrastructure. Alphabet’s dominance in the online search market, with over 90% global share, positions it well to maintain leadership despite competition from Microsoft’s AI-enhanced Bing. Google’s vast ecosystem, data collection capabilities, and technological innovation provide a strong foundation for its advertising services, driving efficiency and relevance. The company’s strategic use of AI in search results and other offerings ensures continued user engagement and advertiser value. In addition to search, Google Cloud has become a significant growth driver, with the firm leveraging its private cloud expertise to expand into the public cloud market, creating additional revenue streams and operational leverage. Alphabet’s investments in futuristic projects, such as Waymo’s autonomous car technology, represent potential long-term growth opportunities, targeting markets valued in the tens of billions of dollars. Google’s ability to offer highly relevant search results and monetize its technology-based intangible assets, from traditional algorithms to advanced AI, underscores its competitive edge. While generative AI introduces some uncertainty, Google’s extensive data collection and user base enhance its capacity to deliver contextual advertising, potentially increasing ad spending per click

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