Energy Transfer: Expansion into Natural Gas Infrastructure and Data Center Demand to catalyze growth – whats the earnings impact , outlook & its 5 key catalysts?

$50.00 — or $120.00 / year

Energy Transfer (ET) delivered strong Q3 2024 results, with adjusted EBITDA rising 12% year-over-year to $3.96 billion, driven by record throughput in crude oil midstream, NGL pipelines, and refined products. Midstream adjusted EBITDA surged 29% to $816 million, supported by higher Permian and Eagle Ford volumes and strategic acquisitions like Crestwood and WTG, while Crude Oil EBITDA rose 9%, benefiting from a 49% increase in exports and contributions from the Midland-Cushing pipelines. Adjusted EPS of $0.32 beat estimates by $0.10, though GAAP EPS of $0.32 missed expectations by $0.03 due to accounting adjustments. Revenue of $20.77 billion fell short by $813.52 million, reflecting top-line pressures despite operational strength. Energy Transfer’s $2.9 billion organic capital plan prioritizes high-return projects, including the Nederland Terminal NGL export expansion (mid-2025) and Fractionator 9 development (Q4 2026). The company’s positioning in natural gas infrastructure for AI/data centers offers compelling growth, with connection requests for 45 power plants and 40 data centers equating to potential load growth of 16 Bcf/d. Challenges include an 8% decline in NGL & Refined Products EBITDA and weaker interstate gas utilization due to softer prices, but these headwinds remain manageable within its $15.3-$15.5 billion 2024 EBITDA guidance. Can Energy Transfer sustain its growth momentum and capitalize on strategic projects and rising natural gas demand to drive long-term shareholder value?

Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures

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