Ferrari (RACE) : Strong Execution as Planned, But Do Lofty Expectations and Trump’s Tariff Proposal Threaten Momentum- What’s the Impact, Outlook & its 5 Pivotal Catalysts ?

$50.00 — or $120.00 / year

Ferrari’s Q3 2024 results highlight its strategic resilience, delivering 7% YoY revenue growth to €1.6 billion and a 10% rise in adjusted EBIT with a standout 28.4% margin, despite a 2% decline in shipments due to deliberate ERP transitions and capacity constraints. Personalization, contributing 20% of car revenues, and premium pricing, up 9% YoY, reflect Ferrari’s ability to enhance margins while prioritizing exclusivity. Hybrid adoption reached 55% of shipments, aligning with its electrification goals, further bolstered by the launch of the F80 supercar, showcasing Ferrari’s in-house EV technology expertise. Tailwinds include strong contributions from the SF90 XX series and the margin-accretive Daytona SP3’s final production phase, while disciplined cost management and pricing power supported profit predictability. Challenges persist in China’s softness and macroeconomic uncertainties, though Ferrari’s unmatched brand equity and global customer base mitigate exposure to Trump’s proposed tariffs. Looking forward, Ferrari’s value-over-volume strategy, electrification milestones, and resilient structural demand position it well for sustained profitability, with Q4 guidance indicating 6% revenue growth and a 25% margin. However, with volume growth limited and geopolitical risks looming, can Ferrari continue to balance innovation, exclusivity, and market expectations to sustain its industry-leading profitability?

Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures

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