Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures
MercadoLibre (MELI): Fintech and Ads Expansion—Are Credit Growth and Fulfillment Gains Securing Competitive Leadership ?
MercadoLibre’s Q3 2024 results highlight its leadership in Latin America’s e-commerce and fintech space, with revenue surging 35% YoY to $5.31 billion. The company saw strong GMV growth in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, driven by an expanding user base and increased platform relevance. However, profitability faced pressures as both adjusted and GAAP EPS missed expectations, reflecting margin compression. Despite this, MercadoLibre’s robust free cash flow and disciplined execution remain strong positives. The fintech business is becoming a key enabler of MercadoLibre’s ecosystem, with a 166% YoY increase in credit card TPV and a 77% growth in its credit portfolio. Strategic investments in logistics, including new fulfillment centers and plans to double Brazil’s fulfillment capacity by 2025, further differentiate MercadoLibre in the competitive landscape. These investments, alongside its MELI+ loyalty program and growing advertising penetration, are key drivers for long-term growth. Despite near-term margin compression, driven by credit provisions and investment intensity, MercadoLibre’s strategic initiatives in fintech, fulfillment, and ads are positioning it for sustained leadership. With its expanding ecosystem and increasing monetization potential, can MercadoLibre maintain its competitive edge and deliver strong long-term returns while navigating profitability challenges in the short term?
