Ralph Lauren (RL) : strong DTC execution continues- breaking down on numbers, outlook and their 4 competitive & strategic levers !

$50.00 or $120.00 / year

Ralph Lauren’s Q2 FY2025 results highlighted strong operational execution despite macroeconomic uncertainty, with revenue of $1.73 billion, surpassing expectations by $44.92 million. This performance was driven by a 6% increase in constant currency and a 10% rise in retail comps, powered by strong DTC channel performance and a 10% increase in average unit retail (AUR). Gross margin expanded by 170 basis points to 67.1%, and adjusted EPS of $2.54 exceeded estimates by $0.12, reflecting cost efficiencies and growth momentum. However, GAAP EPS of $2.31 missed expectations due to non-recurring expenses. The company saw strong growth in international markets, particularly Asia (+10%) and Europe (+15%), with North America returning to growth (+3%) despite strategic wholesale exits. Core product categories like women’s apparel and handbags showed strong momentum, while DTC strength was evident across regions. Ralph Lauren raised its full-year guidance, expecting 3%-4% constant currency revenue growth and operating margin expansion to 13.6%-13.8%. Looking ahead, can Ralph Lauren sustain its strong DTC execution, leverage its product elevation and global expansion strategy, and drive durable growth amid macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures?

Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures

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