Table of Contents :
• Stock Rating & Target Price
• Investment Thesis
• Fundamental Models Used
• Company Description
• Corporate Timeline
• Key Metrics (KPI ) and Recently Reported Earnings Review
• Business Highlights, Strategic Announcements & Outlook
• Quarter-over-Quarter (Q-o-Q) and Year-over-Year (Y-o-Y) Growth Analysis
• Key Catalysts Driving Growth
• Historical Financial Statement Analysis & CAGR Trends
• Quarterly Key Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics
• Annual Financial Performance Analysis: Horizontal and Vertical Financial Analysis, Trends
• Financial Forecasts
• Annual Forecasts: Income Statement
• Annual Forecasts: Cash Flow Statements
• Net Debt Levels
• A Closer Look at DCF: Our Assumptions and Methodology
• Terminal Value Calculation
• Target Price Analysis
• Valuation Multiples
• Supplementary Valuation Analysis: Multiples Approach
• Scenario/Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case , Bull Case ,Bear Case
• Holistic Peer Review & Trading Comps: Financial Data, Operational Metrics, and Valuation Multiples
• Implied Price Per Share
• Ownership Activity/ Insider Trades
• Ownership Summary
• An analysis of ESG Risk Rating
• Key Professionals
• Key Board Members
• Key Risks Considerations
• Analyst Ratings
• Analyst Industry Views
• Disclosures
Where Is Intel in Its Turnaround? Weighing the Erosion in Earnings Power, Cloud in Competitive Positioning & the High-Stakes Bet on AI & 18A Execution!
Intel’s Q4 results reflected a company in transition, with revenue of $14.3B (-7% YoY, +7% QoQ) at the high end of guidance, but a weak Q1 forecast ($12.2B midpoint, -4% YoY, -14% QoQ) signaling ongoing headwinds. Client Computing saw a 9% QoQ lift, likely driven by tariff-driven stocking, while Data Center & AI revenues inched up 1%, though share losses to AMD and NVIDIA persist. Gross margins of 42.1% exceeded expectations but are set to compress to 36% in Q1 due to pricing pressure and weaker product mix. Leadership uncertainty looms following Gelsinger’s abrupt exit, with investors seeking clarity on Intel’s foundry and AI strategy. The roadmap remains fragile—Intel’s 18A process is on track for a 2H25 launch in Panther Lake CPUs, but its first 18A data center chip (Clearwater Forest) is now delayed to 1H26, further complicating AI positioning. Gaudi accelerators remain overshadowed by NVIDIA, while AMD continues to take CPU share. Foundry ambitions face intense competition from TSMC, and Intel’s balance between cost discipline and R&D remains a challenge. The key question: Can Intel reverse CPU share losses, prove its AI relevance, and execute 18A without further missteps, or does it risk deeper erosion in earnings power and long-term competitiveness?
